#Economy
September 9, 2026
An AI Lab Modelled the Economy in 2030. Its Own Worst Case Is Brutal for Knowledge Workers
Anthropic published a model of how AI could reshape growth, wages and jobs by 2030. In its most extreme scenario the US economy grows 15.4% a year — and the wage bill for cognitive work falls 31%. Here is what the model says, and the one number almost nobody quotes.
Saurabh Borakhade