gdp

The IMF pegs global growth at 3.1% for 2026 — a tidy single figure that hides a world pulling apart. India runs at 7%, the Middle East and Central Asia region contracts 0.3%, and the euro area crawls at 1.1%. Here's how to read a divergence this wide.

Anthropic published a model of how AI could reshape growth, wages and jobs by 2030. In its most extreme scenario the US economy grows 15.4% a year — and the wage bill for cognitive work falls 31%. Here is what the model says, and the one number almost nobody quotes.